McDonald's (MCD): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2026

On its Nov 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), McDonald's said 7 of the 21 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 21 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

21 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 21 of 21
Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability published before the event
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Loyalty Yes99✓87%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Delivery Yes78✓64%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Revenue Yes44✓28%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Big Arch Yes33✓54%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Red Bull Yes22✓62%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Happy Meal Yes11✓63%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
McCrispy Yes11✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
McValue 3+ timesNo00✓72%transcripts from the transcript model–
Competition No00✓68%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Supply Chain No00✓60%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Snack Wrap No00✓54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
World Cup No00✓53%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Monopoly No00✓52%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Dividend No00✓43%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Iran / Middle East No00✓38%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
McCafé No00✓26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓25%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
McRib No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Caesar No00✓11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Soccer / Football No00✓11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
DoorDash No00✓10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Nov 4, 2026 15:20 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Mix and Match”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Chris Kempczinskicompanyprepared

…parts in about 1,900 restaurants across a handful of regions. We're testing mix-and-match bundles that give customers greater choice and provide familiar ordering behaviors for…

Where the listed words were said

Chris Kempczinskicompany“Loyalty” · prepared

…a compelling broad set of digital offers to more than 45 million loyalty members in the U.S. through the McDonald's app. Our goal is straightforward.

Chris Kempczinskicompany“Delivery” · qa

…where it was actually cheaper for a period of time to order delivery than it was by going to the restaurant, which requires a significant…

Ian Bordencompany“Revenue” · qa

…Obviously, as you know, in the model, that has an impact on revenue, which is one of the reasons why our revenue was a bit…

Ian Bordencompany“Big Arch” · prepared

…in 2027. Germany also continued to build on the momentum of the Big Arch platform, featuring the Big Arch with Bacon and Big Tasty Bacon,…

Ian Bordencompany“Red Bull” · prepared

…check, with the majority of units sold after lunch. The addition of Red Bull Dragonberry Energizer in August delivered a boost to the platform, with…

Ian Bordencompany“Happy Meal” · prepared

…drove incremental sales and guest counts. Germany and the U.K. strengthened their affordability platforms with a particular focus on families, including price-pointed Happy Meal offers.

Ian Bordencompany“McCrispy” · prepared

…market, supported by menu items such as McExtreme Bacon from Spain and McCrispy Chili Honey from Canada. In the U.K., Menu Heist launched at the…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mcdonalds:2026-11-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mcdonalds:2026-11-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP