PepsiCo (PEP): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 8, 2026

Thu, Oct 8Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptPepsiCo

On its Oct 8, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), PepsiCo said 15 of the 29 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 29 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

29 words · 15 settled yes · our count agreed on 29 of 29

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Consumer Yes1414✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 9:34, Consumer–
Volume Yes1418✓94%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:12, Volume–
Margin Yes1414✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:51, Margin–
Revenue 5+ timesYes1212✓26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:00, Revenue 5+ times–
Snack Yes88✓84%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:43, Snack–
Inflation Yes66✓72%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 19:38, Inflation–
Organic 5+ timesYes55✓45%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:57, Organic 5+ times–
Affordability Yes33✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:14, Affordability–
Permissible Yes22✓76%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:22, Permissible–
Tariff Yes23✓64%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 20:39, Tariff–
Protein Yes11✓77%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:51, Protein–
Celsius Yes11✓73%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 18:04, Celsius–
Commercial Yes11✓73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 9:38, Commercial–
Acquisition Yes11✓51%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 32:40, Acquisition–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes11✓48%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 35:47, AI / Artificial Intelligence–
Away from Home No00✓90%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
PBNA No00✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
China No00✓68%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
World Cup No01✓60%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
GLP / GLP-1 No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Fiber No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shipping No00✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
GLP-1 No00✓28%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Artificial Color No00✓26%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Autonomous No00✓11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Bubly No00✓11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Food for Tomorrow No00✓9%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Prebiotic No00✓9%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Fiscal 5+ timesNo00✓3%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

6 matches for “Inflation”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Lauren Liebermananalystqa · 19:40Hear it 19:34, Lauren Lieberman

…much of the margin pressure is incremental investment versus incremental and unexpected inflation. Because I think that is really important to just understand both what…

Steve Schmittcompanyqa · 20:43Hear it 20:41, Steve Schmitt

…guess, costs, A&M, and tariffs. One, I would talk about on cost inflation overall, the teams internally have done a really nice job with our…

Ramon Laguartacompanyqa · 26:30Hear it 26:24, Ramon Laguarta

…flexibility in what do we do, to absorb this new wave of inflation that is coming to every country, not only the U.S., given energy…

Ramon Laguartacompanyqa · 27:47Hear it 27:41, Ramon Laguarta

…set of tactics between net revenue management and productivity to mitigate the inflation that is coming through our various lines of the P&L, as Steve…

Ramon Laguartacompanyqa · 30:24Hear it 30:18, Ramon Laguarta

…are open and we're realistic with the realities of the marketplace, the inflation, the consumer realities, and where does it make more sense to invest…

Where the listed words were said

Ramon Laguartacompany“Consumer” · qa · 9:36Hear it 9:35, Ramon Laguarta

…than what we had initially anticipated. It had to do with the consumer environment. It had to do with some of the commercial execution. That…

Steve Schmittcompany“Volume” · qa · 4:14Hear it 4:08, Steve Schmitt

…look at the health of the business around the world, global beverage volume was up 3%, global food volume was up 1%, and it's actually…

Dara Mohseniananalyst“Margin” · qa · 2:53Hear it 2:51, Dara Mohsenian

Steve, if I can just slip in one on the margin side, obviously the earnings revision in Q4 is margin driven with the top-line expectations…

Dara Mohseniananalyst“Revenue (5+)” · qa · 2:02Hear it 1:57, Dara Mohsenian

…a bit of a state of the union from you on the revenue side as we approach calendar year-end here. Obviously, internationally, another strong set…

Ramon Laguartacompany“Snack” · qa · 7:10Hear it 7:04, Ramon Laguarta

…you think, as Steve mentioned, a 3% growth in beverages, global beverage volume, and a 4% in snacks globally, the snacks business, not the foods.

Peter Galboanalyst“Inflation” · qa · 40:24Hear it 40:18, Peter Galbo

…guidance reduction, maybe you can just give us a sense order of magnitude, how much kind of the inflation expectation moved up that drove that?

Steve Schmittcompany“Organic (5+)” · qa · 4:36Hear it 4:34, Steve Schmitt

…shifting to the North America business. Our foods business in North America, organic sales improved from Q2, and our beverage business in North America decelerated.…

Ramon Laguartacompany“Affordability” · qa · 12:16Hear it 12:16, Ramon Laguarta

…business. One is making sure that you provide the right value. So affordability, price points, entry points to the different categories, sub-segments, making sure that…

Ramon Laguartacompany“Permissible” · qa · 13:24Hear it 13:24, Ramon Laguarta

All the permissible portfolio, we have over $3 billion as well of permissible portfolio, which is going to be the growth space for the future.…

Steve Schmittcompany“Tariff” · qa · 21:21Hear it 21:15, Steve Schmitt

…in our beverage North America business in the third quarter related to tariffs. We talked a little bit about in our remarks about how much…

Ramon Laguartacompany“Protein” · qa · 13:53Hear it 13:50, Ramon Laguarta

…that is a great portfolio that is growing. We're obviously launching Doritos Protein and some other variants that we see also having very good consumer…

Ramon Laguartacompany“Celsius” · qa · 18:06Hear it 18:04, Ramon Laguarta

…good one for us. Energy as well. I think the Alani plus Celsius makes sense by the time we get the two brands into the…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/pepsico:2026-10-08:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=pepsico:2026-10-08:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP