Nike (NKE): FY27 Q1 earnings call, Oct 1, 2026

Thu, Oct 1Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptNike

On its Oct 1, 2026 earnings call (FY27 Q1), Nike said 14 of the 24 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 24 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

24 words · 14 settled yes · our count agreed on 24 of 24

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Sport 20+ timesYes3333✓74%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:34, Sport 20+ times–
Quarter 25+ timesYes3232✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 0:01, Quarter 25+ times–
Jordan Yes1919✓93%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 3:10, Jordan–
Supply Chain Yes66✓90%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 16:46, Supply Chain–
Investor Day Yes66✓59%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 18:58, Investor Day–
Caitlin / Clark Yes66✓49%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 15:31, Caitlin / Clark–
Sustainable Yes55✓89%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:15, Sustainable–
Dividend Yes47✓60%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 24:23, Dividend–
Hybrid Yes33✓16%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 14:46, Hybrid–
Alphafly Yes22✓19%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:06, Alphafly–
Miami / Blue Ribbon Yes22✓15%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 32:21, Miami / Blue Ribbon–
Converse Yes11✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 20:20, Converse–
SKIMS / NikeSKIMS Yes11✓54%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 32:51, SKIMS / NikeSKIMS–
Sabrina Yes11✓37%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 47:09, Sabrina–
Digital 10+ timesNo77✓77%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:24, Digital 10+ times–
Wholesale 5+ timesNo33✓86%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:54, Wholesale 5+ times–
Tariff No00✓94%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Overhead No00✓83%transcripts from the transcript model–
AeroFit No00✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Phantom No00✓55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Retailer No00✓50%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
NikeSKIMS No00✓37%transcripts from the transcript model–
Direct to Consumer / DTC No00✓24%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Beaverton No00✓20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

36 matches for “China”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Elliott Hillcompanyprepared · 3:14Hear it 3:08, Elliott Hill

…offset the pressure we're seeing in Nike Sportswear, Jordan Brand, and Greater China. We're taking deliberate actions to strengthen those businesses, but realizing the full…

Elliott Hillcompanyprepared · 3:56Hear it 3:51, Elliott Hill

…long term. Let me start with Nike Sportswear, Jordan Brand, and Greater China. We've identified the areas that need improvement and are actively repositioning these…

Elliott Hillcompanyprepared · 9:02Hear it 9:00, Elliott Hill

…it has been for the past several decades. Let's turn to Greater China, where for the quarter, revenue declined 26%. With a new leadership team…

Elliott Hillcompanyprepared · 9:46Hear it 9:42, Elliott Hill

…of our brands. We will anchor Nike's and Jordan's digital marketplace in China around fewer, higher quality experiences through the official Nike flagship storefronts on…

Elliott Hillcompanyprepared · 10:29Hear it 10:24, Elliott Hill

…brick-and-mortar retail experiences. The majority of our partners' physical doors in Greater China have not been refreshed in the past seven years. When we elevate…

Where the listed words were said

Elliott Hillcompany“Sport (20+)” · prepared · 2:36Hear it 2:33, Elliott Hill

…would, and we managed costs with discipline. Importantly, the quarter showed the sport offense is driving results. Our Nike brand performance portfolio continued to grow.…

Operatoroperator“Quarter (25+)” · prepared · 0:03Hear it 0:00, Operator

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Nike, Inc.'s first quarter fiscal 2027 conference call. For those who want to reference today's press release, you'll find…

Elliott Hillcompany“Jordan” · prepared · 7:39Hear it 7:39, Elliott Hill

…to building a deep bench of winners across the entire marketplace. With Jordan Brand footwear, we're going to get back to leading the scarcity model…

Elliott Hillcompany“Supply Chain” · prepared · 16:48Hear it 16:43, Elliott Hill

…first element is the work that is already underway to evolve our supply chain from a mostly fixed structure to one that is more flexible,…

Elliott Hillcompany“Investor Day” · prepared · 19:00Hear it 19:00, Elliott Hill

…creating industry-leading innovation, and building the world's strongest sports brands. At our Investor Day in November, we will provide a clearer view of our long-term…

Elliott Hillcompany“Caitlin / Clark” · prepared · 15:33Hear it 15:27, Elliott Hill

…we activated the largest women's signature shoe launch in Nike's history, the Caitlin one. It will launch in 5,000 doors, twice the average for a…

Elliott Hillcompany“Sustainable” · prepared · 8:17Hear it 8:11, Elliott Hill

…balance to the marketplace to create a foundation for more profitable and sustainable growth. In the near term, North America will feel the biggest impact.…

Dave Dentoncompany“Dividend” · prepared · 24:25Hear it 24:19, Dave Denton

…time. In the quarter, we returned approximately $610 million to shareholders through dividends, and the dividend remains a significant priority in our capital allocation strategy.…

Elliott Hillcompany“Hybrid” · prepared · 14:48Hear it 14:42, Elliott Hill

…Pro and Metcon are industry icons, and we just introduced the Nike Hybrid Footwear system for both running and strength movements to serve the fast-growing…

Elliott Hillcompany“Alphafly” · prepared · 13:08Hear it 13:06, Elliott Hill

…Zoom unit for a quick, smooth ride. In September, we unveiled the Alphafly Four, a lighter, more energy-giving version of our most celebrated marathon shoe.

Elliott Hillcompany“Miami / Blue Ribbon” · prepared · 32:23Hear it 32:22, Elliott Hill

…dimension of Nike, bringing together running, training, football, and Sportswear. We leveraged Blue Ribbon Elite, Nike's program for NIL athletes and our retail partners to…

Dave Dentoncompany“Converse” · prepared · 20:22Hear it 20:16, Dave Denton

…long term, while also focused on getting Sportswear and our Jordan and Converse brands back to financial health. That means ensuring we are appropriately resourcing…

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