Joe Creed: Caterpillar Virtual HQ Visit, Sep 10, 2026

Thu, Sep 10RemarksHistory onlyJoe Creed

In remarks on Sep 10, 2026, Joe Creed said 8 of the 14 words Kalshi listed.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Autonomous / Autonomy Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Data Center Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Mining / Miner Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Physical AI Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Power / Energy Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Productivity Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
FieldAI No–new new word, no probability yet–
Labor / Workforce No–new new word, no probability yet–
MineStar No–new new word, no probability yet–
NVIDIA No–new new word, no probability yet–
Robot / Robotic / Robotics No–new new word, no probability yet–
Skycatch No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

No public transcript expected. Caterpillar investor relations webcast (usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/joe-creed:2026-09-10:remarks · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=joe-creed:2026-09-10:remarks · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP