Steve Huffman: Keynote, Sep 8, 2026

Reddit at Goldman Sachs Communacopia
Tue, Sep 8KeynoteHistory onlySteve Huffman

At the keynote on Sep 8, 2026, Steve Huffman said 11 of the 16 words Kalshi listed.

Part of Goldman sachs communacopia (4 appearances).

Updated

Markets

16 words · 11 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Traffic Yes64%n=4 from settlement history–
Game / Gaming Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Google Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Advertising / Advertiser Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Growth Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Human / Authentic Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Meta / Teen Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Moderation / Moderator Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Safe / Safer / Safety Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Video Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Shopify No61%n=2 from settlement history–
International No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Reddit Pro No49%n=3 from settlement history–
Algorithm No47%n=4 from settlement history–
OpenAI / ChatGPT No47%n=4 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

No public transcript expected. Reddit webcast at an investor conference (investor relations, usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/steve-huffman:2026-09-08:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=steve-huffman:2026-09-08:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP