The Joe Rogan Experience (Spotify), August 30, 2026
On the Aug 30, 2026 episode of The Joe Rogan Experience, 8 of the 16 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| People 100+ times | Yes | 132 | 132 | ✓ | 85%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Right | Yes | 101 | 101 | ✓ | 87%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 10+ times | Yes | 72 | 72 | ✓ | 73%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Alien | Yes | 20 | 20 | ✓ | 56%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Left | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 84%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Red | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 63%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Blue | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 53%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Tesla | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| People 200+ times | No | 132 | 132 | ✓ | 42%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Dude 20+ times | No | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 46%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 11%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| OpenAI | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Obsolete | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · The Joe Rogan Experience podcast audio (Spotify), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
132 matches for “People”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…regression. I think we got to watch it. I remember watching the people discussing it though, so I don't you know this I don't think…
…If you want to muddy the waters, you could try to get people away from the signal or you could try to increase the noise.
…data points probably than anybody as far as – there's probably a thing that you do where you lean in and you lock people in.
…you know what you're looking for you know if you've seen enough people bullshit you and enough and you just you smell it it's weird
…I'm sure you've faced this before, too, where a lot of these people, they've developed an online identity that's based on being someone who has…
Where the listed words were said
Which is what a lot of people believe. And they start making very compelling arguments that consciousness is actually rendering reality. You know, Tom Campbell…
…by night, all day! Are we up? Okay. Hi Jesse. Hello Joe. Right when we walked in, Jamie has apparently been down some rabbit holes.
He's got a phone from 1984. What the fuck is this? Was he filming this is horseshit I don't see jack shit. Hold on. I…
…there somebody did get abducted and see a frog and gray hybrid alien being you know or combo of them on ships but uh what…
…period of time within a standard deviation, you expect a certain amount of slit one, a certain amount of slit two, left slit, right slit.
…check it out there is a what he describes as a blazing red orb the size of a walmart so a massive like a story…
…right well because i think they had an interest you know project blue book was running at the time and it's clear now if you…
…everything. Totally. And sometimes, you know, a great example is Marconi, who is responsible for inventing the radio by most account him and Tesla. Right.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-joe-rogan-experience:2026-08-30:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-joe-rogan-experience:2026-08-30:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP