Sundar Pichai: Stanford Commencement, Jun 14, 2026

At the keynote on Jun 14, 2026, Sundar Pichai said 0 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).

Updated

Markets

12 words · 0 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Agent / Agentic No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Autonomous No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Climate No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Data Center No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Gemini No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Googleplex No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Innovate / Innovation No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Robot / Robotic / Robotics No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Tree No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Trillion No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Vibe Code / Vibe Coding No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Waymo No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · Stanford (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

None of the listed words was said under the market rules.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/sundar-pichai:2026-06-14:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=sundar-pichai:2026-06-14:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP