Abercrombie (ANF): FY26 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2026

On its Mar 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q4), Abercrombie said 8 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

11 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Tariff Yes2126✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Consecutive Yes99✓77%transcripts from the transcript model–
Headwind Yes88✓76%transcripts from the transcript model–
Baby / Toddler Yes44✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Taco Bell Yes22✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Closure Yes11✓76%transcripts from the transcript model–
NFL Yes11✓70%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes11✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
International No01✓62%transcripts from the transcript model–
Luxury No00✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–
Vintage / Archive No00✓20%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

8 matches for “Headwind”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Robert Ballcompanyprepared

…will limit inventory receipts and movement across the business, creating a temporary headwind of approximately 1 to 2 percentage points of growth for the quarter.…

Robert Ballcompanyprepared

…On the evolving Middle East conflict, we currently anticipate a slight sales headwind and will continue to actively monitor the situation alongside our in-market franchise…

Robert Ballcompanyqa

…able to maintain these double-digit operating margins despite all of these different headwinds that we've faced, whether that be, you know, supply chain disruptions, input…

Scott Lipeskycompanyqa

…next couple of weeks. That'll provide a little bit of a one-time headwind for us. By and large, happy with where we are and excited…

Scott Lipeskycompanyqa

…you called it out. We've got this 290 basis points of tariff headwind that's all incremental to last year. We do have offsetting tailwinds here.…

Where the listed words were said

Fran Horowitzcompany“Tariff” · prepared

…we delivered an operating margin of 14.1%, including 360 basis points of tariff pressure. I have to recognize the team's incredible efforts here to meaningfully…

Fran Horowitzcompany“Consecutive” · prepared

For the third consecutive year, our customers responded to the team's compelling product and engaging marketing, delivering net sales growth across regions, led by the…

Scott Lipeskycompany“Headwind” · qa

…in place. That's a yes on that answer. We do have some slight AUR improvements as well that'll help offset some of that tariff headwind.

Fran Horowitzcompany“Baby / Toddler” · prepared

…growth from partnerships and new product categories, like our recent launch of baby and toddler in abercrombie kids. Second, to stabilize growth margins as we…

Fran Horowitzcompany“Taco Bell” · prepared

…drops like our collegiate collection, the grad shop, and engaging collaboration with Taco Bell. We added millions of new customers in 2025, and importantly, we…

Robert Ballcompany“Closure” · prepared

…net store openers with our 55 new stores outpacing around 25 anticipated closures. We do expect net store openings to be relatively balanced across brands,…

Fran Horowitzcompany“NFL” · prepared

As an official fashion partner of the NFL, the first of its kind, we had players and their families, several celebrities and league figures, as…

Fran Horowitzcompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · prepared

We're also moving quickly to leverage AI to benefit the customer, and we're modernizing systems to help us. Finally, to maintain our strong profitability by…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/abercrombie:2026-03-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=abercrombie:2026-03-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP