Paramount special conference call, Mar 2, 2026

Mon, Mar 2AppearanceHistory onlyParamount

On Mar 2, 2026, Paramount said 10 of the 12 words Kalshi listed.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Subscriber Yes91%transcripts from the transcript model–
Investment Grade Yes55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Layoff / Headcount Yes40%transcripts from the transcript model–
RedBird Yes30%transcripts from the transcript model–
Netflix Yes27%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulation / Regulatory Yes23%transcripts from the transcript model–
Antitrust / FTC / DOJ Yes16%transcripts from the transcript model–
CNN Yes16%transcripts from the transcript model–
HBO Yes16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Synergy Yes16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Library No60%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trump / Administration No16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

We don't have this transcript yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/paramount:2026-03-02:other-special-call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=paramount:2026-03-02:other-special-call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP