Hilton (HLT): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 11, 2026
On its Feb 11, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Hilton said 4 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 15 | 16 | ✓ | 79%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Honor / Honors | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 68%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 3 | 5 | ✓ | 37%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Competition | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 65%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Spark | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 88%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 74%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| India | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 64%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| ICE / Border | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| LivSmart | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
5 matches for “World Cup”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…a bunch of unique events, which you're well aware of, with the World Cup, America's 250, that are really stimulative to travel at the same…
…throughout the year? Knowing the comps do get easier, you get the World Cup in the middle of year. And then it sounds like increased…
…that that I can remember in a while. But, you know, yeah, World Cup is second going into third, the government shutdown was fourth. So…
No. The the the perfect perfect storm of holiday shifts and World Cup and
Where the listed words were said
…positive in a bunch of different ways, whether that's financial services, energy, AI, you know, basic and infrastructure, reshoring, you know, there is a massive…
…while benefiting from Hilton's powerful commercial engine, global distribution, and award-winning Hilton Honors loyalty program. Apartment Collection by Hilton, alongside our other newly minted…
…bunch of great competitors. We've done more of and better than our competition. And as you know, that is a heck of a lot better…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/hilton:2026-02-11:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=hilton:2026-02-11:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP