Robinhood (HOOD): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 10, 2026

Tue, Feb 10Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptRobinhood

On its Feb 10, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Robinhood said 17 of the 19 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 19 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

19 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 19 of 19

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Prediction Yes3535✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Prediction Market Yes2835✓89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ timesYes2222✓52%transcripts from the transcript model–
Billion 10+ timesYes2121✓76%transcripts from the transcript model–
International Yes1215✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gold Yes1010✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tokenization Yes1014✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Token Yes99✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Social Yes88✓75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Retirement Yes55✓87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Acquisition Yes55✓82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Credit Card Yes22✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Summit Yes22✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blockchain Yes22✓67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Bitcoin Yes22✓40%transcripts from the transcript model–
Perp / Perpetual Yes22✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
SIG / Susquehanna Yes22✓18%transcripts from the transcript model–
Indonesia No01✓18%transcripts from the transcript model–
Silver No00✓18%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

15 matches for “International”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Vladimir Tenevcompanyprepared

…to look back, and we will really have underestimated how big our international business can be. Now taking all of this together, our relentless product…

Shiv Vermacompanyprepared

…Robinhood Social, Robinhood Ventures, the Robinhood Chain, tokenized real-world assets, and continuing international expansion. It's a pretty long list. And as a reminder, we underwrite…

Vladimir Tenevcompanyprepared

…also see us continue to push into new geographies with several new international markets coming later this year. So before we go to Q&A, I…

James Yaroanalystqa

…Hoping you might be able to expand a little bit on the international expansion. Where do you see or what are the best markets in…

Vladimir Tenevcompanyqa

…I think this year is going to be a big year for international expansion. In the markets that we have already been live, namely the…

Where the listed words were said

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Prediction” · prepared

…big priority for us, and we are seeing big results. In Q4, prediction market volumes doubled, more than doubled yet again, with over 12 billion…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Prediction Market” · prepared

…to focus on areas that are particularly meaningful. And maybe surprising. So prediction markets. Fastest growing business in our history. $300 million plus run rate…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+)” · prepared

…in the main app, and the goal is to become the best AI for all of your financial needs. Cortex for Legend to use an…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Billion (10+)” · prepared

…tools to navigate the markets, and we see them responding. Over 11 billion of equity notional volume in the first couple of months since shorting…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“International” · qa

…spent time working with the regulator and also building these things with international in mind, it should be much quicker to ramp up in each…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Gold” · prepared

…to see customers trusting us with more of their financial lives. Robinhood Gold Card, up over five times in 2025 to 600,000 customers. It's reached…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Tokenization” · prepared

…the number one global financial ecosystem. So the big theme here is tokenization. And it's early in the tokenization industry, but we have built a…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Token” · prepared

…in Europe got a little taste last year of private company stock tokens with our OpenAI and SpaceX stock token giveaways. More to come on…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Social” · prepared

…in the coming weeks and months and scaling throughout the year. Robinhood Social. So Robinhood Social will start rolling out to the first customers very…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Retirement” · prepared

…so that we can easily cross-sell you to, you know, things like retirement or other products. I think that's an area where we have a…

Shiv Vermacompany“Acquisition” · prepared

…three percentage points are from the full-year cost effect of our 2025 acquisitions of Bitstamp and TradePMR. Now these expenses will also come with a…

Shiv Vermacompany“Credit Card” · prepared

…driven by strong growth in the cash sweep program, margin, and our credit card loan book. As we continue to win larger customers and deepen…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/robinhood:2026-02-10:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=robinhood:2026-02-10:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP