Robinhood (HOOD): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2025

On its Nov 5, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Robinhood said 10 of the 12 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Prediction Market Yes1417✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tokenization Yes911✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
International Yes56✓72%transcripts from the transcript model–
Expense Yes44✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
Marketing Yes44✓76%transcripts from the transcript model–
Social Yes45✓55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Retirement Yes34✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trading Volume Yes33✓70%transcripts from the transcript model–
Acquisition Yes22✓70%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blockchain Yes22✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shutdown / Shut Down No00✓20%transcripts from the transcript model–
Football No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

17 matches for “Prediction Market”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Vladimir Tenevcompanyprepared

…monthly records. So both of those businesses just continuing to perform strongly. Prediction markets are really on fire. It's hard to believe that we launched…

Jason Warnickcompanyprepared

…our business grows, we're continuing to diversify. In Q3, 2 more businesses, —Prediction Markets and Bitstamp each surpassed $100 million in annualized revenue, bringing us…

Jason Warnickcompanyprepared

…across product categories. We're also seeing strong contributions from newer products like prediction markets, index options and futures. Interest-earning assets were up over 50%, driven…

Jason Warnickcompanyprepared

…range as well as some increased investment in new growth areas like Prediction Markets and Robinhood Ventures. I think each of these areas have significant…

Jason Warnickcompanyprepared

…saw continued momentum in net deposits, new records set across equities, options, prediction markets, and margin and a nice step-up in crypto volumes. And before…

Where the listed words were said

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Prediction Market” · qa

…And over time, there will be new products, new product categories like Prediction Markets that arise. And we want to use our combination of best-in-class…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Tokenization” · prepared

…we're going after it. Three areas of progress to highlight from Q3. tokenization, which are stock tokens in the EU. We're now up to 400-plus…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“International” · prepared

…it's nearly 40% for customers that joined in quarter, our new customers. International customers, nearly 700,000 international funded, including Bitstamp. So the U.K. and EU…

Jason Warnickcompany“Expense” · prepared

…including Robinhood Banking, which is just beginning to roll out. Turning to expenses. Q3 adjusted OpEx and share-based compensation came in at $613 million, it's…

Jason Warnickcompany“Marketing” · qa

…those savings then to reinvest into growth, things like increasing spend in marketing, which we love the ROI efficiency of our marketing spend, but then…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Social” · prepared

…brokerage accounts, AI-driven custom indicators powered by Robinhood Cortex, a whole new social platform, Robinhood Social. And we've got more. We've got more for you…

Vladimir Tenevcompany“Retirement” · prepared

…to see our financial super app accelerating. On the long-term money side, retirement, now up over $25 billion, which more than doubled in the past…

Jason Warnickcompany“Trading Volume” · qa

…-- when they select smart exchange routing, they're bringing more of their trading volume to Robinhood. So we feel really good about the offering that…

Devin Ryancompany“Acquisition” · qa

…activity that we're tracking is recovering. Last week, Morgan Stanley announced the acquisition of EquityZen. I know there can be some barriers with accredited investors,…

Chris Koegelcompany“Blockchain” · qa

…are not interoperable as they are slightly differently structured and on different blockchains in many cases. Does this result in fragmentation of liquidity across the…

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