Disney (DIS): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Aug 6, 2025
On its Aug 6, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Disney said 10 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | Yes | 44 | 49 | ✓ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Streaming | Yes | 10 | 11 | ✓ | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Cruise | Yes | 7 | 9 | ✓ | 85%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Park | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 91%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Subscriber | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 87%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Margin | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 76%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| NFL Deal | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Competition | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 74%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Abu Dhabi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Acquisition | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 40%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Moana 2 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Buyback | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Dilution | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Debt | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Layoff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
2 matches for “Merchandise”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…Stitch is on track to become the company's second largest consumer products merchandise franchise this year behind only Mickey Mouse with more than 70% revenue…
…on a commerce opportunity off of the ESPN app to buy NFL merchandise. All of it added up, obviously, gives ESPN the opportunity to go…
Where the listed words were said
…resulting in a one- of-a-kind entertainment destination for subscribers. We are building ESPN into the preeminent digital sports platform with our highly anticipated direct-to-consumer sports…
…titles, including Zootopia 2 and Avatar: Fire and Ash. Turning to our streaming business. Today, we are announcing a major step forward in strengthening our…
…addition to a new theme park coming to Abu Dhabi. And Disney Cruise Line continues to grow as we prepare for the launch of 2…
…Experiences segment, expansion projects are underway across every one of our theme parks globally from a new World of Frozen land opening at Disneyland Paris…
…single app. By creating a differentiated streaming offering, we will be providing subscribers tremendous choice, convenience, quality and enhanced personalization, while at the same time,…
…I would tell you, we certainly don't intend to stop at 10% margin. We think there's still lots of margin opportunity once we hit double…
…call. The one thing I would say is given we have the NFL deal and the WWE deal, if we had something of substance in…
…uncertainties, including, among other factors, economic, geopolitical, operating and industry conditions, competition, execution risks, the market for advertising, our future financial performance…
…to watch NFL games than they've ever had before. Because of the acquisition of the NFL Network, not only will we continue to distribute it…
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