Thu, Oct 22, 2026 Yesterday

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

8 eventsData updated · Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

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K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

Thu, Oct 22

Yesterday1 event

INTC · Intel

INTCIntel
INTC: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
WordFY24 Q3FY24 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q2FY25 Q3FY25 Q4FY26 Q1FY26 Q2Chance
next call: probability
FoundryK 98¢Foundry: 37 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Foundry: 39 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Foundry: 19 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Foundry: 21 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Foundry: 28 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Foundry: 17 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Foundry: 27 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Foundry: 17 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)97% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Panther LakeK 98¢Panther Lake: 29 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Panther Lake: 35 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Panther Lake: 16 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Panther Lake: 26 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Panther Lake: 24 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Panther Lake: 17 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Panther Lake: 19 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Panther Lake: 30 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)97% from settlement history blended with transcripts
SecurityK 80¢Security: 0 times, FY24 Q3Security: 3 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Security: 2 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Security: 2 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Security: 1 time, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Security: 1 time, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Security: 2 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Security: 5 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)83% from settlement history blended with transcripts
NVIDIAK 46¢NVIDIA: 0 times, FY24 Q3NVIDIA: 0 times, FY24 Q4NVIDIA: 0 times, FY25 Q1NVIDIA: 1 time, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)NVIDIA: 8 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)NVIDIA: 3 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)NVIDIA: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)NVIDIA: 0 times, FY26 Q266% from settlement history blended with transcripts
MobileyeK 30¢Mobileye: 5 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Mobileye: 5 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Mobileye: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Mobileye: 3 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Mobileye: 4 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Mobileye: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Mobileye: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Mobileye: 0 times, FY26 Q263% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Ultra 3K 32¢Ultra 3: 0 times, FY24 Q3Ultra 3: 0 times, FY24 Q4Ultra 3: 0 times, FY25 Q1Ultra 3: 0 times, FY25 Q2Ultra 3: 3 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Ultra 3: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Ultra 3: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Ultra 3: 0 times, FY26 Q256% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Settled

What was said, and whether our transcript count matched the settlement
  1. American Airlines

    Thu, Oct 22 · Earnings call

    5 of 16 words said

    Our count matched 16 of 16
    • PremiumYes · 33×
    • ChicagoYes · 6×
    • Basic EconomyYes · 2×
    • Flagship SuiteYes · 2×
  2. Lockheed Martin

    Thu, Oct 22 · Earnings call

    11 of 15 words said

    Our count matched 15 of 15
    • F-35Yes · 24×
    • IranYes · 3×
    • DARPAYes · 2×
    • EuropeYes · 2×
  3. Spotify

    Thu, Oct 22 · Earnings call

    10 of 16 words said

    Our count matched 16 of 16
    • RetainYes · 7×
    • MonetizationYes · 4×
    • ChatGPTYes · 2×
    • MessageYes · 2×
  4. Procter & Gamble

    Thu, Oct 22 · Earnings call

    12 of 23 words said

    Our count matched 23 of 23
    • InnovationYes · 24×
    • ChinaYes · 18×
    • ChinaYes · 15×
    • PortfolioYes · 12×
  5. World News Tonight

    Thu, Oct 22 · TV episode

    5 of 15 words said

    Our count matched 14 of 15
    • TrumpYes · 15×
    • RussiaYes · 12×
    • RamaswamyYes · 3×
    • PutinYes · 1×
  6. The Last Word

    Thu, Oct 22 · TV episode

    8 of 15 words said

    Our count matched 15 of 15
    • FarmYes · 6×
    • GasYes · 4×
    • AffordYes · 2×
    • BillionaireYes · 2×
  7. Donald Trump

    Thu, Oct 22 · Rally in Iowa

    31 of 55 words said

    Our count matched 53 of 55
    • TaxYes · 34×
    • MillionYes · 33×
    • DemocratYes · 19×
    • HellYes · 16×