PlayStation State of Play
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on the PlayStation State of Play series since 2026, on 14 different words.
History Wall
1–14 of 14, most settled first| Word | Jun 2latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phantom Blade Zero | Settled yes: Phantom Blade Zero, Jun 2 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Wolverine | Settled yes: Wolverine, Jun 2 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Forza | Settled no: Forza, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| God of War | Settled no: God of War, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gran Turismo | Settled no: Gran Turismo, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| GTA / Grand Theft Auto | Settled no: GTA / Grand Theft Auto, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Intergalactic | Settled no: Intergalactic, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| John Wick | Settled no: John Wick, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Lara Croft | Settled no: Lara Croft, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nintendo | Settled no: Nintendo, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| PlayStation 6 / PS6 | Settled no: PlayStation 6 / PS6, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Silent Hill | Settled no: Silent Hill, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tomb Raider | Settled no: Tomb Raider, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Xbox | Settled no: Xbox, Jun 2 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will be said during PlayStation State of Play? | no transcript | 15 | 2 yes · 13 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “PlayStation State of Play: mention market word history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/playstation-state-of-play (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/playstation-state-of-play · words: /api/v1/history?entity=playstation-state-of-play · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP