Will Jensen Huang say “TSMC”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “TSMC” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 keynotes we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – May 10, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 21, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jensen Huang
TSMC
- Probability
- 78% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 keynotes
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
…you. This is this is the world's first manufacturing chip using uh TSMC's new process that we co-innovated called Co-op. It's a silicon photonics integrated…
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted.
…took us nearly seven years to get here with cuLitho and now TSMC uses it, Samsung uses it, ASML uses it. This is an incredible…
…added more transistors just you know we can add more transistors and TSMC's got a lot of transistor incredible company we just keep adding more…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Jensen Huang say “TSMC”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “TSMC” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Jensen Huang says “TSMC” next time?
- 78%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jensen Huang: ‘TSMC’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jensen-huang/words/tsmc (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=tsmc · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jensen-huang&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP