What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Innovative / Innovation” next time?

74%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jensen Huang say “Innovative / Innovation”?

Name: Jensen Huang: “Innovative / Innovation” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Innovative / Innovation” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 10, 2026.

Of the last 5 keynotes we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – May 10, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 21, 2026) is not counted.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 03:10 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jensen Huang

Innovative / Innovation

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 5 keynotes: said in 3 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jensen Huang say during CBS Sunday Morning? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during the Carnegie Mellon Commencement Keynote? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Jensen Huangspeaker11:39In transcript

…a responsibility to create thoughtful guardrails that protect society while still allowing innovation, discovery, and progress to move forward. History shows that societies that retreat…

What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during his WEF Conversation? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA CES Keynote? · not listed

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What will Jensen say during the NVIDIA Keynote? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
May 10, 2026	Innovative / Innovation	Kalshi	Yes	1

Questions

How often does Jensen Huang say “Innovative / Innovation”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Innovative / Innovation” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 10, 2026.
What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Innovative / Innovation” next time?: 74%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jensen Huang: ‘Innovative / Innovation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jensen-huang/words/innovation-or-innovative (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=innovation%20%2F%20innovative · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jensen-huang&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP