What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Grok / ChatGPT” next time?

70%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jensen Huang say “Grok / ChatGPT”?

Name: Jensen Huang: “Grok / ChatGPT” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Grok / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 22, 2026.

Of the last 5 keynotes we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – May 10, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 21, 2026) is not counted.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Jan 21, 2026
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 23:42 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jensen Huang

Grok / ChatGPT

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 5 keynotes: said in 4 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jensen Huang say during CBS Sunday Morning? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jensen Huang say during the Carnegie Mellon Commencement Keynote? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jensen Huang say during his WEF Conversation? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Jensen Huangspeaker8:25In transcript

…application but very importantly new applications will be built on top of chat GPT new applications will be built on top of anthropic uh claude…

What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA CES Keynote? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jensen say during the NVIDIA Keynote? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Jan 22, 2026	Grok / ChatGPT	Kalshi	Yes	1

Questions

How often does Jensen Huang say “Grok / ChatGPT”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Grok / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 22, 2026.
What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Grok / ChatGPT” next time?: 70%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jensen Huang: ‘Grok / ChatGPT’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jensen-huang/words/chatgpt-or-grok (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=chatgpt%20%2F%20grok · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jensen-huang&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP