Will Jensen Huang say “500 Billion”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “500 Billion” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 28, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 keynotes we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – May 10, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 21, 2026) is not counted.

43%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=500%20billion

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jensen Huang

500 Billion

Probability
43% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 5 keynotes
said in 2 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jensen Huang say during CBS Sunday Morning? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during the Carnegie Mellon Commencement Keynote? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during his WEF Conversation? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA CES Keynote? · not said

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What will Jensen say during the NVIDIA Keynote? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Jensen Huangspeaker1:02:17In transcript

…quarter to go for 2025. And then we have four quarters. So the next five quarters there's $500 million $500 billion half a trillion dollars.

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 6, 2026500 BillionKalshiNo0
Oct 29, 2025500 BillionKalshiYes1

Questions

How often does Jensen Huang say “500 Billion”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “500 Billion” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 28, 2025.
What is the probability Jensen Huang says “500 Billion” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jensen Huang: ‘500 Billion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jensen-huang/words/500-billion (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=500%20billion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jensen-huang&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP