Jack Clark
As of Oct 27, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on Jack Clark’s appearances since 2026, on 15 different words.
History Wall
1–15 of 15, most settled first| Word | Sep 14latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 14 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Elon / Altman | 2 times: Elon / Altman, Sep 14 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Dario / Amodei | 1 time: Dario / Amodei, Sep 14 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| China / Chinese | 3 times: China / Chinese, Sep 14 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Regulation / Regulate / Regulated | 0 times: Regulation / Regulate / Regulated, Sep 14 episode (our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes) | 0/10% | 1/1100% | – |
| Automate / Automated / Automation | 0 times: Automate / Automated / Automation, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Recession / Bubble | 0 times: Recession / Bubble, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Claude / Mythos | 0 times: Claude / Mythos, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Data Center | 0 times: Data Center, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Economy / Economic | 0 times: Economy / Economic, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| GDP / Gross Domestic Product | 0 times: GDP / Gross Domestic Product, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Open Source | 0 times: Open Source, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Productivity / Productive | 0 times: Productivity / Productive, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Quantum | 0 times: Quantum, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Superintelligence | 0 times: Superintelligence, Sep 14 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Anthropic co-founder say during Fox News: Special Report? | Captions · machine-attributed | 16 | 5 yes · 11 no | 14/15 (93%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Jack Clark: mention market word history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jack-clark (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jack-clark · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jack-clark · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP