Changpeng Zhao
As of Oct 27, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Changpeng Zhao’s appearances since 2026, on 12 different words.
History Wall
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Apr 9latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 14 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Bitcoin2+ times | 4 times: Bitcoin (2+ times), Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Blockchain | 9 times: Blockchain, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| China / Chinese | 2 times: China / Chinese, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Ethereum / ETH | 1 time: Ethereum / ETH, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Prediction Market | 8 times: Prediction Market, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Stablecoin | 2 times: Stablecoin, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump | 3 times: Trump, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Fraud | 0 times: Fraud, Apr 9 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| FTX / SBF | 0 times: FTX / SBF, Apr 9 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Pardon | 0 times: Pardon, Apr 9 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Winter | 0 times: Winter, Apr 9 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will CZ say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 13 | 8 yes · 5 no | 12/12 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Changpeng Zhao: mention market word history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/changpeng-zhao (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/changpeng-zhao · words: /api/v1/history?entity=changpeng-zhao · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP