Will John Deere say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
John Deere did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, John Deere did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 26, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Deere
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 20% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…production in line with retail demand across our earthmoving factories, which were shut down for nearly half of the first quarter as we right-sized inventory…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…2024. Lastly, in construction and forestry, recall that our plan was to shut down North American earthmoving production for roughly half the first quarter, significantly…
…this quarter. As you mentioned earlier, we discussed the roughly 50% production shutdown days we had planned in earthmoving as we proactively work to reduce…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…year-over-year comps for PPA in the fourth quarter due to extended factory shutdown days associated with plans under production at several facilities. Turning to small…
…this past quarter, earthmoving lines at our North American factories will be shut down for approximately half the total production days in the first quarter…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did John Deere say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- John Deere did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does John Deere say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, John Deere did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 26, 2025.
- What is the probability John Deere says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 20%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Deere: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DE/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=john-deere&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=john-deere&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP