Vistra (VST)

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on Vistra’s earnings calls since 2026, on 14 different words. Next call: Nov 6, 2026 (11 words listed).

“Hyperscaler” on the Aug 7 call · 52:14 · said 2 times. Play the clip

Next: Earnings call ·

11 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Vistra: the words listed for Fri, Nov 6, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ3’24Nov '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25year agoQ4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Battery3 times: Battery, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said8 times: Battery, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said3 times: Battery, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: Battery, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Battery, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Battery, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said12 times: Battery, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said10 times: Battery, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%5/862%31/3784%90%transcripts from the transcript model46¢ Kalshi
Hyperscaler2 times: Hyperscaler, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said2 times: Hyperscaler, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said4 times: Hyperscaler, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said3 times: Hyperscaler, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Hyperscaler, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said7 times: Hyperscaler, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said5 times: Hyperscaler, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said2 times: Hyperscaler, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%5/862%11/3730%90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Cogentrix0 times: Cogentrix, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Cogentrix, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Cogentrix, Q1’25 May '250 times: Cogentrix, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Cogentrix, Q3’25 Nov '2514 times: Cogentrix, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said6 times: Cogentrix, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said5 times: Cogentrix, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising3/838%3/838%3/378%86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts74¢ Kalshi
Investment Grade0 times: Investment Grade, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Investment Grade, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Investment Grade, Q1’25 May '254 times: Investment Grade, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said5 times: Investment Grade, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said5 times: Investment Grade, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said5 times: Investment Grade, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said4 times: Investment Grade, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising5/862%5/862%19/3751%86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Meta0 times: Meta, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Meta, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Meta, Q1’25 May '250 times: Meta, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Meta, Q3’25 Nov '2514 times: Meta, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said7 times: Meta, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said3 times: Meta, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising3/838%3/838%3/378%85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts76¢ Kalshi
Oak Hill0 times: Oak Hill, Q3’24 Nov '241 time: Oak Hill, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Oak Hill, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: Oak Hill, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Oak Hill, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said2 times: Oak Hill, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said3 times: Oak Hill, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Oak Hill, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising7/888%7/888%7/3719%79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Martin Lake0 times: Martin Lake, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Martin Lake, Q4’24 Feb '252 times: Martin Lake, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Martin Lake, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Martin Lake, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Martin Lake, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said1 time: Martin Lake, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Martin Lake, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%6/875%13/3735%72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '253 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '253 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Tariff, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Tariff, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising4/850%1/812%5/3714%64%transcripts from the transcript model46¢ Kalshi
Buyback / Buy Back0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’24 Feb '252 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’25 Aug '252 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’26 May '260 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’26 Aug '26steady2/825%0/80%27/3773%36%transcripts from the transcript model46¢ Kalshi
Moss Landing0 times: Moss Landing, Q3’24 Nov '243 times: Moss Landing, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Moss Landing, Q1’25 May '251 time: Moss Landing, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Moss Landing, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Moss Landing, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Moss Landing, Q1’26 May '260 times: Moss Landing, Q2’26 Aug '26falling4/850%4/850%21/3757%33%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Capacity Auction1 time: Capacity Auction, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said2 times: Capacity Auction, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Capacity Auction, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said5 times: Capacity Auction, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Capacity Auction, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Capacity Auction, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Capacity Auction, Q1’26 May '260 times: Capacity Auction, Q2’26 Aug '26falling5/862%4/850%11/3730%30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:37 UTC.

Every word

1–6 of 6, most settled first
Vistra: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’24Nov '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25Nov '25Q4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Co-Location3 times: Co-Location, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said16 times: Co-Location, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said12 times: Co-Location, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Co-Location, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said0 times: Co-Location, Q3’25 Nov '2511 times: Co-Location, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said13 times: Co-Location, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said8 times: Co-Location, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady7/888%1/812%8/3722%92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Comanche Peak2 times: Comanche Peak, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said3 times: Comanche Peak, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Comanche Peak, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said5 times: Comanche Peak, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said7 times: Comanche Peak, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said14 times: Comanche Peak, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Comanche Peak, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Comanche Peak, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%4/850%24/3765%92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Permian1 time: Permian, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said0 times: Permian, Q4’24 Feb '252 times: Permian, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Permian, Q2’25 Aug '253 times: Permian, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said4 times: Permian, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said3 times: Permian, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Permian, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%6/875%16/3743%82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Production Tax Credit / PTC5 times: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said5 times: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q1’25 May '252 times: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said1 time: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said2 times: Production Tax Credit / PTC, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%7/888%16/3743%77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Buyback0 times: Buyback, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Buyback, Q4’24 Feb '252 times: Buyback, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Buyback, Q2’25 Aug '252 times: Buyback, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Buyback, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Buyback, Q1’26 May '260 times: Buyback, Q2’26 Aug '26steady2/825%0/80%27/3773%28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Uprate / Up Rate2 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said0 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q4’24 Feb '252 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q2’25 Aug '254 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said12 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: Uprate / Up Rate, Q2’26 Aug '26rising5/862%5/862%5/3714%68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 14 of 14 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Aug 7, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript1410 yes · 4 no14/14 (100%)
May 7, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 26, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Nov 6, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Aug 7, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 7, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 27, 2025Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Nov 7, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Aug 8, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 8, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 28, 2024Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Nov 7, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Vistra (VST): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/VST (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/vistra · words: /api/v1/history?entity=vistra · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP