Will Vistra say “Uprate / Up Rate”?

Vistra did not say “Uprate / Up Rate” on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 2, 0, 4, 12, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra did not say “Uprate / Up Rate” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

69%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Vistra

Uprate / Up Rate

Probability
69% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jim BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…build gas units. Longer lead time projects such as the PJM nuclear uprates supported by our long-term power purchase agreements with Meta. These projects represent…

Jim BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…at work advancing multiple additional gigawatts of opportunities across the generation spectrum. Uprates will continue to play an important role, and we see the opportunity…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

12 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

James BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…industry. We have now signed approximately 3.8 gigawatts of nuclear capacity, including up rates under long-term contracts, more than any other power company in the…

James BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…options to explore new nuclear development with a specific focus on possible uprates and small modular reactors. We are excited about this partnership and the…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

James BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…in the early stages of project execution. Others such as the nuclear uprates, while still early in the process, could provide significant additional optionality around…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 7, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 7, 2026Uprate / Up RateKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Vistra say “Uprate / Up Rate” on its last earnings call?
Vistra did not say “Uprate / Up Rate” on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 2, 0, 4, 12, 2, 0 times.
How often does Vistra say “Uprate / Up Rate”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra did not say “Uprate / Up Rate” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026.
What is the probability Vistra says “Uprate / Up Rate” next time?
69%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Vistra: ‘Uprate / Up Rate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/VST/words/up-rate-or-uprate (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vistra&word=up%20rate%20%2F%20uprate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vistra&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP