Will Vistra say “Comanche Peak”?

Vistra said “Comanche Peak” 1 time on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 2, 3, 1, 5, 7, 14, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra said “Comanche Peak” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

93%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Vistra

Comanche Peak

Probability
93% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jim Burkecompanyqa · 18:07Hear it 18:03, Jim Burke In transcript

…the timeframe. The key project that we have in our portfolio at Comanche Peak, we're looking to energize at the end of 2027. We don't…

David Arcaroanalystqa · 54:44Hear it 54:38, David Arcaro In transcript

…curious, looking at Batch Zero, do you have other projects outside of Comanche Peak that you may be working on with partners just within your…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jim BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…role, and we see the opportunity for more than 200 MW at Comanche Peak and approximately 300 additional MW at our PJM gas sites. We…

Kris MoldovancompanypreparedIn transcript

…priorities include approximately 3.2 gigawatts of nuclear capacity at Beaver Valley and Comanche Peak that can be contracted on a long-term basis and ongoing opportunities…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2026 · said 14 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

14 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

James BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…a 20-year agreement with Amazon Web Services for 1,200 megawatts at our Comanche Peak nuclear power plant in Texas and 20-year agreements with Meta covering…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 7, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 7, 2026Comanche PeakKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Vistra say “Comanche Peak” on its last earnings call?
Vistra said “Comanche Peak” 1 time on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 2, 3, 1, 5, 7, 14, 2, 1 times.
How often does Vistra say “Comanche Peak”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra said “Comanche Peak” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026.
What is the probability Vistra says “Comanche Peak” next time?
93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Vistra: ‘Comanche Peak’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/VST/words/comanche-peak (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vistra&word=comanche%20peak · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vistra&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP