Will Vistra say “Martin Lake”?
Vistra said “Martin Lake” 1 time on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra said “Martin Lake” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vistra
Martin Lake
- Probability
- 72% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…our flexible gas generation assets to capture margin opportunities, the restart of Martin Lake Unit 1, and contributions from the assets acquired from Lotus in…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…down assets when warranted and buying low-cost power in the market. Importantly, Martin Lake Unit One returned from an extended outage late in Q1 and…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…of contribution from the Lotus assets more than offset extended outages at Martin Lake Unit 1 and our Moss Landing battery facilities. The Retail segment…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Martin Lake |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Vistra say “Martin Lake” on its last earnings call?
- Vistra said “Martin Lake” 1 time on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1 times.
- How often does Vistra say “Martin Lake”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra said “Martin Lake” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Vistra says “Martin Lake” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vistra: ‘Martin Lake’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/VST/words/martin-lake (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vistra&word=martin%20lake · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vistra&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP