Will Vistra say “Permian”?

Vistra said “Permian” 1 time on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 2, 0, 3, 4, 3, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra said “Permian” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

82%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Vistra

Permian

Probability
82% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Kris Moldovancompanyprepared · 13:37Hear it 13:31, Kris Moldovan In transcript

…to accretive growth investments, including the Cogentrix acquisition, the development of the Permian Gas Units, the PJM nuclear operate supported by power purchase agreements with…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Jim BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…and Miami Fort. Texas gas expansions, including gas plant augmentations and our Permian new build gas units. Longer lead time projects such as the PJM…

Kris MoldovancompanypreparedIn transcript

…towards accretive growth investments, including the Cogentrix acquisition, the development of the Permian gas units, the PJM nuclear operates supported by PPAs with Meta, and…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

James BurkecompanypreparedIn transcript

…or high-return thermal additions like our coal conversions, gas plant augmentations or Permian new build gas units. Turning to the balance sheet. Our prioritization of…

Kristopher MoldovancompanypreparedIn transcript

…towards accretive growth investments, including the Cogentrix acquisition, the development of the Permian gas units and the PJM nuclear uprates supported by PPAs with Meta,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 7, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 7, 2026PermianKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Vistra say “Permian” on its last earnings call?
Vistra said “Permian” 1 time on its Aug 7, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 2, 0, 3, 4, 3, 1 times.
How often does Vistra say “Permian”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vistra said “Permian” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 7, 2026.
What is the probability Vistra says “Permian” next time?
82%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Vistra: ‘Permian’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/VST/words/permian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vistra&word=permian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vistra&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP