Micron post-earnings analyst call, Dec 18, 2025

Thu, Dec 18AppearanceHistory onlyMicron

On Dec 18, 2025, Micron said 1 of the 11 words Kalshi listed.

Updated

Markets

11 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Portfolio Yes93%transcripts from the transcript model–
Inventory No96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Smartphone No93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No73%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nvidia No72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
New York No59%transcripts from the transcript model–
Taiwan No51%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automation No27%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gaming No21%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hyperscaler No16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Layoff No16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Nov 11, 2026 07:32 UTC.

Transcript

We don't have this transcript yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/micron:2025-12-18:other-post-earnings-call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=micron:2025-12-18:other-post-earnings-call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP