Will Clear say “Social Security”?
Clear did not say “Social Security” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Clear did not say “Social Security” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Clear
Social Security
- Probability
- 23% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…executive order trying to reduce fraud. While we've started in Medicare, there's Social Security, there's IRS, right? There's so many places where you need to…
…the focus there is extending, as I talked about, to other areas. Social Security and Medicare are closely connected, but you look at the rural…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Social Security |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Clear say “Social Security” on its last earnings call?
- Clear did not say “Social Security” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Clear say “Social Security”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Clear did not say “Social Security” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Clear says “Social Security” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Clear: ‘Social Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/YOU/words/social-security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=clear&word=social%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=clear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP