Will Clear say “REAL ID”?

Clear did not say “REAL ID” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 6, 5, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Clear did not say “REAL ID” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Clear

REAL ID

Probability
24% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 6, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Caryn Seidman-BeckercompanyqaIn transcript

…it be update your credit card, update your driver's license, you're not REAL ID ready, do you want a concierge, you can add family members.…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Caryn Gail Seidman-BeckercompanypreparedIn transcript

…total addressable market and yielding greater operating leverage in our business. The REAL ID mandate reflects the importance of a digital identity. CLEAR ID can…

Caryn Gail Seidman-BeckercompanypreparedIn transcript

…upload their passport via the CLEAR app. This creates a free digital REAL ID that travelers can use at any TSA-enabled checkpoint nationwide. Initially available…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Caryn Seidman-BeckercompanypreparedIn transcript

…improve the member experience, enrollment process and our technology platform. With the REAL ID deadline here and our ePassport product fully rolled out, CLEAR is…

Caryn Seidman-BeckercompanypreparedIn transcript

…will be an important accelerant to TSA PreCheck enrollment. With the federal Real ID enforcement date here, the stakes are high. Millions of Americans were…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 7, 2024 · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026REAL IDKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Clear say “REAL ID” on its last earnings call?
Clear did not say “REAL ID” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 6, 5, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
How often does Clear say “REAL ID”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Clear did not say “REAL ID” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability Clear says “REAL ID” next time?
24%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Clear: ‘REAL ID’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/YOU/words/real-id (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=clear&word=real%20id · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=clear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP