Will Clear say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
Clear did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 1, 9, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Clear did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 58¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Clear
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 55% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
9 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…continued to increase dramatically during the quarter, and the challenges of the shutdown highlighted the value proposition of our premium product. This is a high-margin,…
…to thank the TSA officers who worked tirelessly without pay through the shutdown. Over 3,500 CLEAR ambassadors worked hand in glove with the TSA to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…of weather, so that not only, you know, is there the government shutdown disruption, but certainly with a winter full of weather and, you know,…
Hey, good morning. I wanted to ask about the government shutdowns, maybe Caryn, just how did that impact you guys during the last shutdown? And…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…better time. But I think that there's really 2 parts to the shutdown, traffic and experience. And actually, traffic has been trending upwards despite the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Clear say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- Clear did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 1, 9, 0 times.
- How often does Clear say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Clear did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Clear says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Clear: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/YOU/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=clear&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=clear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP