Will Chipotle say “Carne Asada”?
Chipotle did not say “Carne Asada” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 0, 6, 2, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Chipotle said “Carne Asada” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chipotle
Carne Asada
- Probability
- 54% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…notably beef, avocados, and cooking oils, partially offset by the benefit of carne asada ramping down, modest pricing leverage, and lower tariffs. With the recent…
Hi, Sara. It's Scott. Thank you for the question. So carne asada did perform as it relates to incidents just as well as it did…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…out Red Chimichurri, which pairs exceptionally well with our limited time offer, carne asada. The sauce is prepared with only real ingredients, no artificial preservatives,…
…see encouraging results as we accelerated our marketing spend and rolled out carne asada, and Red Chimichurri, our underlying trends remained challenged throughout the quarter…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…were also impressive, especially considering that we are lapping the very successful Carne asada limited-time offer from last year. Additionally, we experienced some volatility around…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Carne Asada |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Carne Asada | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Carne Asada | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Carne Asada |  Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Carne Asada | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How many times did Chipotle say “Carne Asada” on its last earnings call?
- Chipotle did not say “Carne Asada” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 0, 6, 2, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Chipotle say “Carne Asada”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Chipotle said “Carne Asada” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Chipotle says “Carne Asada” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chipotle: ‘Carne Asada’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CMG/words/carne-asada (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chipotle&word=carne%20asada · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chipotle&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP