Will Chipotle say “Headwind”?
Chipotle did not say “Headwind” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 2, 4, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Chipotle did not say “Headwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 27¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chipotle
Headwind
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…So just then and there, that's about a 250 basis point margin headwind. We'll chip away at throughout the year. When you think about it…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…I want to spend a minute addressing a few of the consumer headwinds we have experienced. Earlier this year, as consumer sentiment declined sharply, we…
…restaurants as well as many discretionary categories. This group is facing several headwinds, including unemployment, increased student loan repayment and slower real wage growth. We…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…will improve. And so that -- I think that's probably the biggest headwind we face. Now that does cause us internally to think differently about…
Yes. I would assume the mix headwind, which was about a minus 1 in the second quarter to continue for the rest of the year.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Chipotle say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Chipotle did not say “Headwind” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 2, 4, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Chipotle say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chipotle did not say “Headwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Chipotle says “Headwind” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chipotle: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CMG/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chipotle&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chipotle&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP