Will Chipotle say “Tariff”?
Chipotle did not say “Tariff” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 8, 5, 4, 5, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Chipotle said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 27¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chipotle
Tariff
- Probability
- 57% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…inflation, primarily in beef, and chicken, as well as the impact of tariffs. Tariffs impacted the quarter by about 30 basis points. For Q1, we…
…the benefit of carne asada ramping down, modest pricing leverage, and lower tariffs. With the recent removal of tariffs on beef and other agricultural goods,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…December. Additionally, inflation is accelerating into the mid-single-digit range, primarily due to tariffs and rising beef costs, and we anticipate it will remain in this…
…inflation, primarily in beef and chicken as well as the impact of tariffs. Tariffs impacted the quarter by about 30 basis points, and we continue…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…better-than-expected benefit from cost of sales efficiencies and a lower impact from tariffs. Thanks to these efficiencies, which include both supply chain and in-restaurant initiatives,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Chipotle say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Chipotle did not say “Tariff” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 8, 5, 4, 5, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Chipotle say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chipotle said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Chipotle says “Tariff” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chipotle: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CMG/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chipotle&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chipotle&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP