Amgen (AMGN)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated

As of Nov 11, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on Amgen’s earnings calls since 2026, on 14 different words. Next call: Feb 2, 2027 (15 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

15 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Amgen: the words listed for Tue, Feb 2, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25Nov '25Q4’25year agoQ1’26Apr '26Q2’26Aug '26Q3’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
GLP-1 / GLP0 times: GLP-1 / GLP, Q4’24 Feb '253 times: GLP-1 / GLP, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: GLP-1 / GLP, Q2’25 Aug '251 time: GLP-1 / GLP, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: GLP-1 / GLP, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said7 times: GLP-1 / GLP, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said6 times: GLP-1 / GLP, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said4 times: GLP-1 / GLP, Q3’26 Nov '26, counts as saidrising6/875%4/850%14/8317%85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts78¢ Kalshi
Dazodalibep0 times: Dazodalibep, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Dazodalibep, Q1’25 May '250 times: Dazodalibep, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Dazodalibep, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Dazodalibep, Q4’25 Feb '263 times: Dazodalibep, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said10 times: Dazodalibep, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said9 times: Dazodalibep, Q3’26 Nov '26, counts as saidrising3/838%3/838%6/837%83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts82¢ Kalshi
VESALIUS-CV1 time: VESALIUS-CV, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: VESALIUS-CV, Q1’25 May '251 time: VESALIUS-CV, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said8 times: VESALIUS-CV, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said2 times: VESALIUS-CV, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said6 times: VESALIUS-CV, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said3 times: VESALIUS-CV, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said1 time: VESALIUS-CV, Q3’26 Nov '26, counts as saidrising7/888%5/862%7/838%79%transcripts from the transcript model60¢ Kalshi
Eosinophilic1 time: Eosinophilic, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Eosinophilic, Q1’25 May '251 time: Eosinophilic, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Eosinophilic, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said2 times: Eosinophilic, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Eosinophilic, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Eosinophilic, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said6 times: Eosinophilic, Q3’26 Nov '26, counts as saidrising6/875%6/875%16/8319%76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts74¢ Kalshi
ESMO0 times: ESMO, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: ESMO, Q1’25 May '250 times: ESMO, Q2’25 Aug '252 times: ESMO, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: ESMO, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: ESMO, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: ESMO, Q2’26 Aug '265 times: ESMO, Q3’26 Nov '26, counts as saidrising2/825%1/812%9/8311%59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts18¢ Kalshi
Imfinzi / Durvalumab0 times: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q4’24 Feb '251 time: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q2’26 Aug '265 times: Imfinzi / Durvalumab, Q3’26 Nov '26, counts as saidrising2/825%2/825%2/832%59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts42¢ Kalshi
Medicare0 times: Medicare, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Medicare, Q1’25 May '250 times: Medicare, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Medicare, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Medicare, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Medicare, Q1’26 Apr '262 times: Medicare, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said1 time: Medicare, Q3’26 Nov '26, counts as saidrising2/825%1/812%35/8342%52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts35¢ Kalshi
Tavneos1 time: Tavneos, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said3 times: Tavneos, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Tavneos, Q2’25 Aug '253 times: Tavneos, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said3 times: Tavneos, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said4 times: Tavneos, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Tavneos, Q2’26 Aug '260 times: Tavneos, Q3’26 Nov '26falling5/862%4/850%16/8319%50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts36¢ Kalshi
Oral3+ times1 time: Oral (3+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25, below the threshold9 times: Oral (3+ times), Q1’25 May '25, counts as said3 times: Oral (3+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Oral (3+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, below the threshold6 times: Oral (3+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Oral (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, below the threshold3 times: Oral (3+ times), Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said1 time: Oral (3+ times), Q3’26 Nov '26, below the thresholdfalling4/850%0/80%23/8328%34%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts49¢ Kalshi
Acquisition5 times: Acquisition, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Acquisition, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: Acquisition, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Acquisition, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Acquisition, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Acquisition, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Acquisition, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said0 times: Acquisition, Q3’26 Nov '26falling5/862%3/838%54/8365%27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts28¢ Kalshi
Litigation0 times: Litigation, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Litigation, Q1’25 May '250 times: Litigation, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Litigation, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Litigation, Q4’25 Feb '262 times: Litigation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Litigation, Q2’26 Aug '260 times: Litigation, Q3’26 Nov '26rising1/812%1/812%27/8333%24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts16¢ Kalshi
Artificial Intelligence3+ times2 times: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25, below the threshold1 time: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q1’25 May '25, below the threshold1 time: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, below the threshold1 time: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, below the threshold0 times: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q4’25 Feb '265 times: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q2’26 Aug '26, below the threshold1 time: Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Q3’26 Nov '26, below the thresholdrising1/812%1/812%2/832%21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts16¢ Kalshi
Patent2+ times1 time: Patent (2+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25, below the threshold0 times: Patent (2+ times), Q1’25 May '250 times: Patent (2+ times), Q2’25 Aug '251 time: Patent (2+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, below the threshold0 times: Patent (2+ times), Q4’25 Feb '263 times: Patent (2+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Patent (2+ times), Q2’26 Aug '26, below the threshold0 times: Patent (2+ times), Q3’26 Nov '26rising1/812%1/812%15/8318%19%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts18¢ Kalshi
Prolia2+ times3 times: Prolia (2+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Prolia (2+ times), Q1’25 May '25, below the threshold1 time: Prolia (2+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, below the threshold2 times: Prolia (2+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Prolia (2+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, below the threshold1 time: Prolia (2+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, below the threshold1 time: Prolia (2+ times), Q2’26 Aug '26, below the threshold0 times: Prolia (2+ times), Q3’26 Nov '26falling2/825%1/812%56/8367%19%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts23¢ Kalshi
Buyback / Buy Back0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’25 May '250 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’26 Aug '260 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’26 Nov '26steady0/80%0/80%31/8337%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts12¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Nov 4, 2026 01:31 UTC.

Appearances and settled record

latest 12 earnings calls

Our transcript counts matched how 14 of 14 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Citeparrot.markets, “Amgen (AMGN): earnings call word history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMGN (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/amgen · words: /api/v1/history?entity=amgen · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP