Will Amgen say “Prolia” 2+ times?

Amgen did not say “Prolia” on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it 2+ times on 2 of its last 8 calls: 3, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen did not say “Prolia” 2+ times on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

19%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Feb 2, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
23¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Amgen

Prolia (2+ times)

Probability
19% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Murdo GordoncompanypreparedIn transcript

…the future, and Jay will share more about those in a moment. Prolia and XGEVA combined delivered $1.1 billion in second quarter sales, a decrease…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Murdo GordoncompanypreparedIn transcript

…gaining traction and helping expand TEZSPIRE's reach across a broader patient population. Prolia and XGEVA combined delivered $1.1 billion in sales in the first quarter,…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Murdo GordoncompanypreparedIn transcript

…untreated. Presenting a clear opportunity for EVENITY to drive growth and impact. Prolia delivered $4.4 billion in sales in 2025, an increase of 1% year…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Nov 3, 2026Prolia (2+ times)KalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Amgen say “Prolia” on its last earnings call?
Amgen did not say “Prolia” on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it 2+ times on 2 of its last 8 calls: 3, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0 times.
How often does Amgen say “Prolia (2+ times)”?
As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen did not say “Prolia” 2+ times on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026.
What is the probability Amgen says “Prolia (2+ times)” next time?
19%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Amgen: ‘Prolia (2+ times)’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMGN/words/prolia-2plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amgen&word=prolia%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amgen&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP