Will Amgen say “ESMO”?

Amgen said “ESMO” 5 times on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 5 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen said “ESMO” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Feb 2, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
17¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Amgen

ESMO

Probability
59% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jay BradnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…first-line maintenance study of IMDELLTRA with anti-PD-L1 therapy was also presented at ESMO, remarkably featuring a median overall survival of 37 months. These results are…

Murdo GordoncompanyqaIn transcript

…out there this week and last week post-presentation of the data at ESMO, and I'm not alone in my enthusiasm for these data. Our practicing…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

James BradnercompanyqaIn transcript

…this dramatic 303 study presented at World Lung as well as at ESMO for really meaningful activity in frontline in Phase III. And this is…

Robert BradwaycompanyqaIn transcript

…So it's a medicine that we're excited about. I think somebody at ESMO described it as wow squared. So stay tuned. A lot of --…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Nov 3, 2026ESMOKalshiYes5

Questions

How many times did Amgen say “ESMO” on its last earnings call?
Amgen said “ESMO” 5 times on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 5 times.
How often does Amgen say “ESMO”?
As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen said “ESMO” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026.
What is the probability Amgen says “ESMO” next time?
59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Amgen: ‘ESMO’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMGN/words/esmo (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amgen&word=esmo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amgen&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP