Will Amgen say “Oral” 3+ times?

Amgen said “Oral” 1 time on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 9, 3, 2, 6, 2, 3, 1 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen did not say “Oral” 3+ times on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

34%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Feb 2, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
49¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Amgen

Oral (3+ times)

Probability
34% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Murdo GordoncompanyqaIn transcript

…of activity in this category. There are certainly a lot of daily orals being developed. There's a lot of weekly injectables being developed, some even…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Murdo GordoncompanyqaIn transcript

…really easy regimen for patients to adhere to. We've seen limitations with orals, including with statins, where daily oral therapy does have some compliance and…

Murdo GordoncompanyqaIn transcript

I think this oral versus injectable is too simplistic a compare, and you really have to look at why do you take an LDL cholesterol…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

James BradnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…exposure. Stable drug levels avoid the frequent peaks and troughs of daily orals and weekly injectables that may contribute to intolerability. We remain confident and…

James BradnercompanyqaIn transcript

…the weekly GLP-1s. But different than the weekly GLP-1s and different than oral GLP-1s that are short half-life medicines, this trough to peak spike that's…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Nov 3, 2026Oral (3+ times)KalshiNo1

Questions

How many times did Amgen say “Oral” on its last earnings call?
Amgen said “Oral” 1 time on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 9, 3, 2, 6, 2, 3, 1 times.
How often does Amgen say “Oral (3+ times)”?
As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen did not say “Oral” 3+ times on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026.
What is the probability Amgen says “Oral (3+ times)” next time?
34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Amgen: ‘Oral (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMGN/words/oral-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amgen&word=oral%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amgen&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP