Will Amgen say “Medicare”?

Amgen said “Medicare” 1 time on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen said “Medicare” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

52%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Feb 2, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
35¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Amgen

Medicare

Probability
52% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Murdo GordoncompanyqaIn transcript

…we're interested in seeing what other government access programs evolve to over time. I think it's good that we've got Medicare access in this category.

Geoff MeachamanalystqaIn transcript

…about the commercial approach. Mostly thinking about the dynamics of the new Medicare GLP-1 Bridge program, payer receptivity. How are you thinking about the OUS…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Murdo GordoncompanypreparedIn transcript

TEZSPIRE is reaching more patients today through expanded Medicare access, including coverage for self-administration, with additional opportunity ahead as Medicare Part D access improves. Uptake…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Nov 3, 2026MedicareKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Amgen say “Medicare” on its last earnings call?
Amgen said “Medicare” 1 time on its Nov 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1 times.
How often does Amgen say “Medicare”?
As of Nov 11, 2026, Amgen said “Medicare” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2026.
What is the probability Amgen says “Medicare” next time?
52%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Amgen: ‘Medicare’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMGN/words/medicare (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amgen&word=medicare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amgen&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP