Ryanair (RYAAY): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jan 26, 2026

Mon, Jan 26Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptRyanair

On its Jan 26, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Ryanair said 5 of the 13 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 10 of 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
ATC / Air Traffic Control Yes44✓93%transcripts from the transcript model–
On-Time / On Time Yes11✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Holiday Yes00✗89%transcripts from the transcript model–
Elon / Musk Yes00✗16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Starlink Yes00✗16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
Union No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Record No00✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shutdown / Shut Down No00✓51%transcripts from the transcript model–
Weather No00✓30%transcripts from the transcript model–
JetBlue No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Newark No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nonstop / Non-Stop No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Michael O'Learycompany“ATC / Air Traffic Control” · prepared

…fuel hedging and effective cost control helps to offset the increases in ATC charges, higher enviro costs in Europe and the roll-off of last year's…

Neil Sorahancompany“On-Time / On Time” · prepared

…which is a 4% increase on last year. Thanks to our strong on-time performance and reliability, we've seen our customer satisfaction scores rise to 89%…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/ryanair:2026-01-26:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=ryanair:2026-01-26:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP