Will Ryanair say “Holiday”?
Ryanair did not say “Holiday” on its Jul 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 5, 5, 17, 5, 8, 0, 10, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ryanair said “Holiday” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 80% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ryanair
Holiday
- Probability
- 80% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
9 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…in favor of European air travel as we get to the school holidays now. It'll break in favor of European air travel. We believe we…
…people will travel. you know, where they will, families will go on holidays. The question is, will they go on holidays, long haul or to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A).
…yet because it's so heavily driven by Christmas and the New Year holiday bookings. The new aircraft from Boeing will gives us the capacity to…
…kind of complacently thought would be price sensitive. Therefore, they'll book the holidays directly with us. They didn't. A lot of them moved to the…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…to stress again, Q1 fares substantially benefited from having a full Easter holiday in April, weak prior year comparison and marginally stronger than expected close…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Holiday |  Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How many times did Ryanair say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
- Ryanair did not say “Holiday” on its Jul 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 5, 5, 17, 5, 8, 0, 10, 0 times.
- How often does Ryanair say “Holiday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ryanair said “Holiday” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Ryanair says “Holiday” next time?
- 80%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ryanair: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RYAAY/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ryanair&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ryanair&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP