Will Ryanair say “Tariff”?
Ryanair did not say “Tariff” on its Jul 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 18, 17, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ryanair did not say “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ryanair
Tariff
- Probability
- 18% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
16 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 15 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…heavily exposed, though, to adverse external developments, including the risk of terrorism, tariff wars, macroeconomic shocks including conflict escalation in the Middle East and Ukraine…
Thanks, Stephen. Okay. Quick answer on the tariffs, nobody knows. What we suspect will happen is, I think, Trump will continue to probably delay the…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
14 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 12 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…$79 a barrel. So we secured a 4% saving. Following the trunk tariff announcement or independent, we saw a material fall in oil prices. which…
…this year. We did jump on the oil price weakness following the tariff announcements to hedge 40% of next summer. In other words, H1 FY…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Tariff |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Ryanair say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Ryanair did not say “Tariff” on its Jul 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 18, 17, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Ryanair say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ryanair did not say “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Ryanair says “Tariff” next time?
- 18%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ryanair: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RYAAY/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ryanair&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ryanair&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP