Will Ryanair say “Union”?

Ryanair did not say “Union” on its Jul 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 3, 2, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ryanair did not say “Union” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ryanair

Union

Probability
40% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY27 Q1 earnings call, Jul 20, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q4 earnings call, May 18, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Michael O'LearycompanypreparedIn transcript

…negotiations with a wide number of other national pilot and cabin crew unions, and we expect to agree follow on deals with those over the…

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jan 26, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Nov 3, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Michael O'LearycompanypreparedIn transcript

…if it can be shut down every time some air traffic control union wants to go on strike. It isn't much of an ask. The…

Edward WilsoncompanyqaIn transcript

…is about recovering on the day. So we'll be talking with our union partners in terms of the renewal of agreements. We will try to…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jul 21, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Michael O'LearycompanyqaIn transcript

…those passengers which again, because we're not allowed to recover from these unions because they have immunity from prosecution under -- from ATC of immunity…

Michael O'LearycompanyqaIn transcript

…market on behalf of Europe citizens. It does mean upsetting some French unions, but I think that's always a cause well worthwhile. The more you…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, May 19, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jan 27, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Nov 4, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 26, 2026UnionPolymarketNo0

Questions

How many times did Ryanair say “Union” on its last earnings call?
Ryanair did not say “Union” on its Jul 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 3, 2, 0, 1, 0 times.
How often does Ryanair say “Union”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ryanair did not say “Union” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 26, 2026.
What is the probability Ryanair says “Union” next time?
40%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ryanair: ‘Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RYAAY/words/union (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ryanair&word=union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ryanair&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP