PayPal (PYPL): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 28, 2025

Tue, Oct 28Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptPayPal

On its Oct 28, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), PayPal said 8 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Biometric Yes77✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
Google Yes45✓25%transcripts from the transcript model–
E-Commerce Yes33✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
College Yes33✓53%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blue Owl Yes34✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Cash Back Yes11✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Unprofitable Yes11✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stablecoin / Stable Coin Yes11✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bank No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Charge Off / Charge-Off No00✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hyperwallet No00✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blockchain No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Fintech No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulation / Regulator No00✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bitcoin No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Alex Chrisscompany“Biometric” · prepared

…checkout experiences, improving how we are prioritized across merchants, and importantly, driving biometric adoption. We are also leaning into new verticals and geographies that expand…

Alex Chrisscompany“Google” · prepared

…for a future where consumers can pay through AI agents powered by Google, OpenAI, Perplexity, and others. Last September, we launched PayPal Everywhere in the…

Alex Chrisscompany“E-Commerce” · qa

…seeing people shop is it's not just hard lines of in-store or e-commerce. There are a lot of people that are shopping on their phone…

Alex Chrisscompany“College” · prepared

…attracted 1 million first-time users in Q3, thanks in part to our college partnerships. Monthly Venmo debit actives grew by more than 40%. This has…

Jamie S. Millercompany“Blue Owl” · prepared

…credit, externalizing a portion of our short-term U.S. pay later receivables with Blue Owl Capital. We ended the quarter with $6.4 billion in net loan…

Jamie S. Millercompany“Cash Back” · qa

…are targeted really around product attach and habituation. Things like merchant co-marketing, cashback offers, and rewards, and things around better placement and presentment drive right…

Alex Chrisscompany“Unprofitable” · prepared

…new customers and deepening engagement across our existing base. We have reinvigorated unprofitable and underperforming parts of the business. We're leveraging our incredible brands to…

Alex Chrisscompany“Stablecoin / Stable Coin” · prepared

…branded experiences and PSP, we are also aggressively innovating in agentic, ads, stablecoins, and digital wallet interoperability through PayPal World to establish avenues for future…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/paypal:2025-10-28:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=paypal:2025-10-28:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP