Will TSMC say “Margin”?
TSMC said “Margin” 19 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 37, 25, 35, 20, 15, 29, 12, 19 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Margin” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 97% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
Margin
- Probability
- 97% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
19 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A).
…to $46.7 billion, above the high end of our third-quarter guidance. Gross margin decreased by 1.3 percentage points sequentially to 66.4%, primarily due to margin…
…the exchange rate assumption of one U.S. dollar to TWD 31.8, gross margin is expected to be between 65% and 67%, operating margin between 56.5%…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
12 counted (12 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Based on the exchange rate assumption of $1 to TWD 32, gross margin is expected to be between 65% and 67%. Operating margin between 56%…
…quarter 2026 profitability. Compared to the first quarter, our second quarter gross margin increased by 150 basis points sequentially to 67.7%, slightly ahead of our…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
21 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 11 in Q&A); 8 by speakers the rule does not count.
…sequentially to $35.9 billion, slightly ahead of our first quarter guidance. Gross margin increased 3.9 percentage points sequentially to 66.2%, primarily due to cost improvement…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Margin |  Polymarket | Yes | 19 |
Questions
- How many times did TSMC say “Margin” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC said “Margin” 19 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 37, 25, 35, 20, 15, 29, 12, 19 times.
- How often does TSMC say “Margin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Margin” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability TSMC says “Margin” next time?
- 97%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘Margin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/margin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=margin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP