Mastercard (MA): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026

On its Jan 29, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Mastercard said 7 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Stablecoin Yes66✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Cybersecurity Yes44✓83%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tokenization Yes33✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Agent Pay Yes33✓63%transcripts from the transcript model–
Rate Cap / 10% Cap Yes34✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulation / Regulatory Yes22✓60%transcripts from the transcript model–
International Yes11✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
M&A / Merger No00✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Holiday No00✓35%transcripts from the transcript model–
Fiserv No00✓32%transcripts from the transcript model–
SpendingPulse No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trump No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Michael Miebachcompany“Stablecoin” · prepared

…is the virtuous cycle in motion. The payments industry continues to evolve. Stablecoins and the Gentecommerce bring new choices to pay and get paid. And…

Michael Miebachcompany“Cybersecurity” · qa

…topic, that is often overlooked, and that is the potential risk to cybersecurity. This is a race to the bottom for the cheapest network option,…

Michael Miebachcompany“Tokenization” · prepared

…revenues benefit from transaction growth. And also higher growth drivers such as tokenization. For example, fraud scores and token authentication fall into this category. And…

Michael Miebachcompany“Agent Pay” · prepared

…days, but we are ready. You remember, last year, we launched Mastercard AgentPay, a framework designed to foster trust in agentic transactions. We have now…

Michael Miebachcompany“Rate Cap / 10% Cap” · qa

…Good. Yes. Appreciate your first comment, actually, on the order. So the rate cap. You know, that's a it's a really important conversation around affordability,…

Michael Miebachcompany“Regulation / Regulatory” · prepared

…the payments evolution. At the same time, environments shift. Customer needs, technology, regulation, so we adapt. And we prioritize ensuring we have the right capabilities…

Sachin Mehracompany“International” · prepared

…increased 14%. The three ppt difference is driven primarily by pricing in international markets, partially offset by mix. Transaction processing assessments were up 14% switched…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mastercard:2026-01-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mastercard:2026-01-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP