Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on Intuitive Surgical’s earnings calls since 2026, on 14 different words. Next call: Jan 21, 2027 (13 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
13 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25year ago | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 11 times: China, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 17 times: China, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: China, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 7 times: China, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 7 times: China, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 6 times: China, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 6 times: China, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: China, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 57/7675% | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Da Vinci 53+ times | 29 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 19 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 27 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25 | 33 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 26 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 25 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 30 times: Da Vinci 5 (3+ times), Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 7/888% | 11/7614% | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 86¢ Kalshi |
| Ion3+ times | 23 times: Ion (3+ times), Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 14 times: Ion (3+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: Ion (3+ times), Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 23 times: Ion (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 18 times: Ion (3+ times), Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 18 times: Ion (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 18 times: Ion (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 17 times: Ion (3+ times), Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 33/7643% | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 4 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 31 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 13 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 7 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 4 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 13/7617% | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Reimbursement | 0 times: Reimbursement, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Reimbursement, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Reimbursement, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Reimbursement, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Reimbursement, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 12 times: Reimbursement, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 6 times: Reimbursement, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 5 times: Reimbursement, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 4/850% | 62/7682% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Hernia | 0 times: Hernia, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Hernia, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Hernia, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Hernia, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 12 times: Hernia, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Hernia, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Hernia, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 5 times: Hernia, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 3/838% | 50/7666% | 88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| International | 2 times: International, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 4 times: International, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: International, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: International, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: International, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 3 times: International, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 59/7678% | 88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 90¢ Kalshi |
| FDA | 1 time: FDA, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: FDA, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: FDA, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: FDA, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: FDA, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: FDA, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: FDA, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 4 times: FDA, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 52/7668% | 80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Telepresence | 0 times: Telepresence, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Telepresence, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Telepresence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Telepresence, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Telepresence, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Telepresence, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Telepresence, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Telepresence, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 10/7613% | 77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 89¢ Kalshi |
| Medicare / Medicaid | 0 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 5 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Medicare / Medicaid, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Medicare / Medicaid, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 2 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Medicare / Medicaid, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 3/838% | 8/7611% | 71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 83¢ Kalshi |
| Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition | 2 times: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Acquire / Acquired / Acquisition, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 6/875% | 5/862% | 47/7662% | 55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 33¢ Kalshi |
| Autonomy / Autonomous | 0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 4/765% | 48%transcripts from the transcript model | 60¢ Kalshi |
| GLP-1 | 1 time: GLP-1, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: GLP-1, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: GLP-1, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: GLP-1, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: GLP-1, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: GLP-1, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: GLP-1, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 4/850% | 3/838% | 7/769% | 33%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 29¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 22:27 UTC.
Every word
1–2 of 2, most settled first| Word | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Jan '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autonomy | 0 times: Autonomy, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Autonomy, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Autonomy, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Autonomy, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Autonomy, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Autonomy, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Autonomy, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Autonomy, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 4/765% | 55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Supply Chain | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 7 times: Supply Chain, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: Supply Chain, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Supply Chain, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Supply Chain, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 6/875% | 4/850% | 44/7658% | 42%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 14 of 14 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 14 | 11 yes · 3 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Intuitive Surgical (ISRG): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ISRG (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/intuitive-surgical · words: /api/v1/history?entity=intuitive-surgical · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP