Will Intuitive Surgical say “Tariff”?

Intuitive Surgical said “Tariff” 4 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 31, 13, 3, 7, 5, 4, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Surgical said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 92% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

92%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Jan 21, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
89¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Intuitive Surgical

Tariff

Probability
92% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jamie Samathcompanyprepared · 13:01Hear it 12:55, Jamie Samath In transcript

…operating margin was 42% of revenue, or 41% excluding a one-time pre-tax tariff refund of $28 million. Non-GAAP earnings per share grew 25% to $3…

Jamie Samathcompanyprepared · 25:40Hear it 25:34, Jamie Samath In transcript

…one-time benefit of $28 million from the refund of previously paid IEEPA tariffs. Excluding this benefit, non-GAAP gross margin would have been 68.9%, an improvement…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jamie Samathcompanyprepared · 12:30Hear it 12:24, Jamie Samath In transcript

…$36 million pre-tax benefit tied to the refund of previously paid IEEPA tariffs. Total procedures for Q2 grew 16%, reflecting 15% growth in da Vinci…

Jamie Samathcompanyprepared · 23:36Hear it 23:32, Jamie Samath In transcript

…in Q2 of last year. Excluding the $36 million benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds, Q2 non-GAAP gross margin would have been 68.7%. The year-over-year improvement…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jamie SamathcompanypreparedIn transcript

…cost reductions and fixed overhead leverage, partly offset by the impact of tariffs. While Q1 results were not significantly impacted by higher oil and memory…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2025 · said 13 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 31 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 20, 2026TariffKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did Intuitive Surgical say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Intuitive Surgical said “Tariff” 4 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 31, 13, 3, 7, 5, 4, 4 times.
How often does Intuitive Surgical say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Surgical said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Intuitive Surgical says “Tariff” next time?
92%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Intuitive Surgical: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ISRG/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=intuitive-surgical&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=intuitive-surgical&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP