Will Intuitive Surgical say “China”?

Intuitive Surgical said “China” 7 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 17, 10, 7, 7, 6, 6, 7 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Surgical said “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

93%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Jan 21, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
89¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Intuitive Surgical

China

Probability
93% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

7 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Dave Rosacompanyprepared · 7:12Hear it 7:12, Dave Rosa In transcript

…quarter with 42% procedure growth, surpassing 200,000 cumulative da Vinci procedures. In China, the operating environment remains challenging. To support expected long-term growth in Asia,…

Jamie Samathcompanyprepared · 16:21Hear it 16:19, Jamie Samath In transcript

…signs of a response to the June reimbursement changes. Procedure growth in China was roughly in line with the corporate average, reflecting lower recent capital…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

David Rosacompanyprepared · 3:41Hear it 3:41, David Rosa In transcript

…Asia each up 20% and rest of world markets up 22%. In China, the environment remains challenging. We continue to see lower tender activity, increased…

Jamie Samathcompanyprepared · 14:30Hear it 14:28, Jamie Samath In transcript

da Vinci procedure growth in China and Japan was slightly ahead of the global average, but continued to be impacted by the market-specific dynamics we…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Dave RosacompanypreparedIn transcript

The lower growth rate relative to prior quarters reflects ongoing challenges in China and Japan. In China, the environment remains largely consistent, with recent quarters…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 17 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 20, 2026ChinaKalshiYes7

Questions

How many times did Intuitive Surgical say “China” on its last earnings call?
Intuitive Surgical said “China” 7 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 17, 10, 7, 7, 6, 6, 7 times.
How often does Intuitive Surgical say “China”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Surgical said “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Intuitive Surgical says “China” next time?
93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Intuitive Surgical: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ISRG/words/china (CC BY 4.0)

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