Will Amazon say “Middle East”?

Amazon said “Middle East” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Middle East” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: anyone
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Market
42¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Amazon

Middle East

Probability
41% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brian Olsavskycompanyprepared · 23:27Hear it 23:21, Brian Olsavsky In transcript

…heightened transportation costs driven by fuel inflation from the conflict in the Middle East and higher line haul rates from driver capacity limitations. Excluding the…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 5, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 6, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 30, 2026Middle EastPolymarketYes1

Questions

How many times did Amazon say “Middle East” on its last earnings call?
Amazon said “Middle East” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does Amazon say “Middle East”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Middle East” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026.
What is the probability Amazon says “Middle East” next time?
41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/middle-east (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP